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R. Michael Alvarez: Computational Social Science : Discovery and Prediction

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Quantitative research in social science research is changing rapidly. Researchers have vast and complex arrays of data with which to work: we have incredible tools to sift through the data and recognize patterns in that data; there are now many sophisticated models that we can use to make sense of those patterns; and we have extremely powerful computational systems that help us accomplish these tasks quickly. This book focuses on some of the extraordinary work being conducted in computational social science - in academia, government, and the private sector - while highlighting current trends, challenges, and new directions. Thus, Computational Social Science showcases the innovative methodological tools being developed and applied by leading researchers in this new field. The book shows how academics and the private sector are using many of these tools to solve problems in social science and public policy.

An almost impossible puzzle with supernatural trappings. In a remote house in the middle of Dartmoor, six shadowy figures huddle around a small table for a seance. Tension rises as the spirits spell out a chilling message: 'Captain Trevelyan...dead...murder.' Is this black magic or simply a macabre joke? The only way to be certain is to locate Captain Trevelyan. Unfortunately, his home is six miles away and, with snow drifts blocking the roads, someone will have to make the journey on foot... Just a few weeks old, Dasha the cat found herself in a family with an autistic child. The publication of Temple Grandin's book Animals in Translation: Using the Mysteries of Autism to Decode Animal Behaviour turned the household into a research laboratory, with the humans observing Dasha's behaviours and the cat experimenting with the 'human guinea pigs'. The feline perspective provides a new outlook on autism conditions, challenging long established stereotypes and Computational Social Science : Discovery and Prediction free ebook analysing controversies in the field with an unbiased attitude and humour. The text is interspersed with Dasha's 'wisdoms', 'research notes' and definitions of concepts based on her own understanding, such as 'A pet shop is a place where humans come to be adopted by the animals who are brave enough to take a responsibility of looking after them.' Dasha's Journal provides research-based information in an amusing and accessible form and makes serious and complicated issues such as sensory perception, memory, communication, savant skills and challenging behaviours in autism easily understandable for the general reader.

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Gail L. McVey,Michael P. Levine,Niva Piran,Bruce H. Ferguson: Preventing Eating-Related and Weight-Related Disorders : Collaborative Research, Advocacy, and Policy Change

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This book presents a collection of writings by expert researchers from Canada, the United States, and Australia who are committed to finding common cause and common ground in the prevention of eating disorders and obesity. The ten chapters in this book seek to create a new public health approach to the prevention of weight-related disorders, one that counters the confusion and frustration from public policies, messages, and programs that recipients of prevention efforts often experience. The first section looks at prevention from a public health perspective, and the second section highlights theories from risk and resilience research that can inform the prevention of weight-related disorders. The contributions are varied in their theories and models, but woven throughout is the theme of collaboration in changing public institutions and social systems that promotes universal prevention and fosters mental health and resilience. Unique methods of linking systems and fostering partnerships across sectors and disciplines are highlighted, and readers are exposed to innovative ideas of how to move the field of prevention science forward to reduce the onset of negative body image, unhealthy weight management, eating disorders, and disordered eating. Preventing Eating-Related and Weight-Related Disorders is the second in a series of titles from The Community Health Systems Resource Group at The Hospital for Sick Children. This series will educate researchers, policy-makers, students, practitioners, and interested stakeholders on such topics as early intervention in psychosis, aggressive behaviour problems, eating-related disorders, and marginalized youth in educational contexts.

#1 New York Times bestselling author J. D. Robb takes us to the Root Methods : A Handbook ebook pdf New York City of 2060, where Lieutenant Eve Dallas faces down a cop killer... Amaryllis Coltraine may have recently transferred to the New York City police force from Atlanta, but she s been a cop long enough to know how to defend herself against an assailant. When she s taken down just steps away from her apartment, killed with her own weapon, for Eve the victim isn t just one of us. Eve starts questioning everyone while her husband, Roarke, digs into computer data on the dead woman s life back in Atlanta. To their shock, they discover a connection between this case and their own painful, shadowy pasts. The truth will need to be uncovered one layer at a time, starting with the box that arrives at Cop Central addressed to Eve, containing Coltraine s guns, badge, and a note from her killer: You can have them back. Maybe someday soon, I ll be sending yours to somebody else. But Eve Dallas doesn t take too kindly to personal threats, and she is going to break this case, whatever it takes. And that s a promise."

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Albert L. Smit,A.G. Bengough,Chris Engels,M. van Noordwijk,S. Pellerin,S.C. van de Geijn: Root Methods : A Handbook

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A comprehensive review of all modern methods for plant root research, both in the field and in the laboratory. It covers the effects of environmental interactions with root growth and function, focussing in particular on the assessment of root distribution and dynamics. It also describes and discusses the processing of root observations, analysis and modelling of root growth and architecture, root-image analysis, computer-assisted tomography and magnetic resonance imaging. Furthermore, a survey of the application of isotope techniques in root physiology is given.

#1 New York Times bestselling author J. D. Robb takes us to the Root Methods : A Handbook ebook pdf New York City of 2060, where Lieutenant Eve Dallas faces down a cop killer... Amaryllis Coltraine may have recently transferred to the New York City police force from Atlanta, but she s been a cop long enough to know how to defend herself against an assailant. When she s taken down just steps away from her apartment, killed with her own weapon, for Eve the victim isn t just one of us. Eve starts questioning everyone while her husband, Roarke, digs into computer data on the dead woman s life back in Atlanta. To their shock, they discover a connection between this case and their own painful, shadowy pasts. The truth will need to be uncovered one layer at a time, starting with the box that arrives at Cop Central addressed to Eve, containing Coltraine s guns, badge, and a note from her killer: You can have them back. Maybe someday soon, I ll be sending yours to somebody else. But Eve Dallas doesn t take too kindly to personal threats, and she is going to break this case, whatever it takes. And that s a promise."

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Richard Aldrich,Rory Cormac: The Black Door: Spies, Secret Intelligence and British Prime Ministers

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'The Black Door' explores the evolving relationship between successive British prime ministers and the intelligence agencies, from Asquith's Secret Service Bureau to Cameron's National Security Council. At the beginning of the 20th Century the British intelligence system was underfunded and lacked influence in government. But as the new millennium dawned, intelligence had become so integral to policy that it was used to make the case for war. Now, covert action is incorporated seamlessly into government policy, and the Prime Minister is kept constantly updated by intelligence agencies. But how did intelligence come to influence our government so completely? 'The Black Door' explores the murkier corridors of No. 10 Downing Street, chronicling the relationships between intelligence agencies and the Prime Ministers of the last century. From Churchill's code-breakers feeding information to the Soviets to Eden's attempts to assassinate foreign leaders, from Wilson's paranoia of an MI5-led coup d'etat to Thatcher's covert wars in Central America, Aldrich and Cormac entertain and enlighten as they explain how our government came to rely on intelligence to the extent that it does today.

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Jonathan Wells: The Politically Incorrect Guide to Darwinism and Intelligent Design

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Why Darwinism--like Marxism and Freudianism before it--is headed for extinction In the 1925 Scopes trial, the American Civil Liberties Union sued to allow the teaching of Darwin's theory of evolution in public schools. Seventy-five years later, in Kitzmiller v. Dover, the ACLU sued to prevent the teaching of an alternative to Darwin's theory known as "Intelligent Design"--and won. Why did the ACLU turn from defending the free-speech rights of Darwinists to silencing their opponents? Jonathan Wells reveals that, for today's Darwinists, there may be no other choice: unable to fend off growing challenges from scientists, or to compete with rival theories better adapted to the latest evidence, Darwinism--like Marxism and Freudianism before it--is simply unfit to survive. Wells begins by explaining the basic tenets of Darwinism, and the evidence both for and against it. He reveals, for instance, that the fossil record, which according to Darwin should be teeming with "transitional" fossils showing the development of one species to the next, so far hasn't produced a single incontestable example. On the other hand, certain well-documented aspects of the fossil record--such as the Cambrian explosion, in which innumerable new species suddenly appeared fully formed--directly contradict Darwin's theory. Wells also shows how most of the other "evidence" for evolution-- including textbook "icons" such as peppered moths, Darwin's finches, Haeckel's embryos, and the Tree of Life--has been exaggerated, distorted ...and even faked. Wells then turns to the theory of intelligent design (ID), the idea that some features of the natural world, such as the internal machinery of cells, are too "irreducibly complex" to have resulted from unguided natural processes alone. In clear-cut layman's language, he reveals the growing evidence for ID coming out of scientific specialties from microbiology to astrophysics. As Wells explains, religion does play a role in the debate over Darwin--though not in the way evolutionists claim. Wells shows how Darwin reasoned that evolution is true because divine creation "must" be false--a theological assumption oddly out of place in a scientific debate. In other words, Darwinists' materialistic, atheistic assumptions rule out any theories but their own, and account for their willingness to explain away the evidence--or lack of it. Darwin is an emperor who has no clothes-- but it takes a brave man to say so. Jonathan Wells, a microbiologist with two Ph.D.s (from Berkeley and Yale), is that brave man. Most textbooks on evolution are written by Darwinists with an ideological ax to grind. Brave dissidents--qualified scientists--who try to teach or write about intelligent design are silenced and sent to the academic gulag. But fear not: Jonathan Wells is a liberator. He unmasks the truth about Darwinism-- why it is wrong and what the real evidence is. He also supplies a revealing list of "Books You're Not Supposed to Read" (as far as the Darwinists are concerned) and puts at your fingertips all the evidence you need to challenge the most closed-minded Darwinist.

This beautifully illustrated and simply executed guide arms readers with all the fundamental stitches for crochet. Packaged as a slim, dictionary-style volume, the book's classic look and feel makes it a timeless addition to crafters' bookshelves. A lovely gift for crafters, Stitch Encyclopedia: Embroidery can be enjoyed on its own or as part of the complete Stitch Encyclopedia set: crochet, knitting and embroidery. Earl Nightingale's timeless words are still regarded as one of the most powerful and influential messages ever recorded, one that continues to transform the lives of everyone who hears and heeds it. In "The Strangest Secret, "Nightingale expands the themes of that remarkable original message into a comprehensive program that helps you discover: The Music Handbook Level 3 builds on the skills the children The Politically Incorrect Guide to Darwinism and Intelligent Design download epub learned at Level 1 & 2, while still supporting the teacher every step of the way. • 30 clear, structured and sequenced lesson plans

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Paul Brassley,Dr Richard Soffe: Agriculture: A Very Short Introduction

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Agriculture, one of the oldest human occupations, is practised all over the world, using techniques ranging from the profoundly traditional to the most scientifically advanced. Without it we would starve. Yet how many of us understand what is happening in the fields that we see as we drive through the countryside? How often do we think about the origins of the food in our trolley? In this Very Short Introduction Paul Brassley and Richard Soffe explain what farmers do and why they do it. Beginning with the most basic resource, the soil, they show why it is important, and how farmers can increase its productivity, before turning to the plants and animals that grow on it, and tracing the connections between their biology and the various ways in which farmers work with them. The authors conclude by looking at some of the controversial issues facing contemporary agriculture: its sustainability; its impact on wildlife and landscape; issues of animal welfare; and the affect of climate change and the development of genetically modified organisms on farmers. ABOUT THE SERIES: The Very Short Introductions series from Oxford University Press contains hundreds of titles in almost every subject area. These pocket-sized books are the perfect way to get ahead in a new subject quickly. Our expert authors combine facts, analysis, perspective, new ideas, and enthusiasm to make interesting and challenging topics highly readable.

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Peyton Skipwith,Brian Webb: Edward Bawden's London

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This beautiful book, with almost 200 striking images, shows London as represented by Edward Bawden (1903-1989) in prints, posters, drawings, paintings, murals and advertising material produced during his long career. The wide range of illustrations includes early work executed whilst a student in the early 1920s; the Morley College murals carried out in partnership with Eric Ravilious; advertising work for London Transport, Fortnum & Mason, Twinings Teas, Shell, Westminster Bank; the mural for the Lion & Unicorn Pavilion at the1951 Festival of Britain; and a varied selection of his finest series of linocuts - including London Monuments and London Markets.

- The Book of Dzyan " A score of centuries has passed since the First Apocalypse and the thoughts of men have turned, inevitably, to more worldly concerns...A veteran sorcerer and spy seeks news of an ancient enemy. A military genius plots to conquer the known world for his Emperor but dreams of the throne for himself. The spiritual leader of the Thousand Temples seeks a Holy War to cleanse the land of the infidel. An exiled barbarian chieftain seeks vengeance against the man who disgraced him. And into this world steps a man like no other, seeking to bind Edward Bawden's London download book all - man and woman, emperor and slave - to his own mysterious ends. But the fate of men - even great men - means little when the world itself may soon be torn asunder. Behind the politics, beneath the religious fervour, a dark and ancient evil is reawakening. After two thousand years, the No-God is returning. The Second Apocalypse is nigh. And one cannot raise walls against what has been forgotten...

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Terrence Holt: Internal Medicine: A Doctor's Stories

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In this "artful, unfailingly human, and understandable" (Boston Globe) account inspired by his own experiences becoming a doctor, Terrence Holt puts readers on the front lines of the harrowing crucible of a medical residency. A medical classic in the making, hailed by critics as capturing "the feelings of a young doctor's three-year hospital residency ...better than anything else I have ever read" (Susan Okie, Washington Post), Holt brings a writer's touch and a doctor's eye to nine unforgettable stories where the intricacies of modern medicine confront the mysteries of the human spirit. Internal Medicine captures the "stark moments of success and failure, pride and shame, courage and cowardice, self-reflection and obtuse blindness that mark the years of clinical training" (Jerome Groopman, New York Review of Books), portraying not only a doctor's struggle with sickness and suffering but also the fears and frailties each of us-doctor and patient-bring to the bedside.

When Jo betrays the identity of the one man she will die to protect, she and Rune become locked in a treacherous battle of wills that pits ultimate loyalty against unbridled Internal Medicine: A Doctor's Stories download book lust. In Business Stripped Bare, Sir Richard Branson shares the inside track on his life in business and reveals the incredible truth about his most risky, brilliant and audacious deals. Discover why Virgin tried to take on one of the world's biggest superbrands, how Virgin Mobile USA holds the record as the fastest company in history to generate revenues of over one billion dollars (faster than Microsoft, Google and Amazon) and how Richard is the only person in the world to have built eight billion-dollar companies from scratch in eight different sectors. Combining invaluable advice with the remarkable and candid inside stories of Virgin's greatest achievements, as well as some of its setbacks, Business Stripped Bare is a dynamic, inspirational and truly original guide to success in business and in life. Whether you are an executive, an entrepreneur or are just starting out, Richard strips business down to show how you can succeed and make a difference.

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David Roberts,Alan MacDonald: Aliens!

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Calling all Dirty Bertie fans! Dirty Bertie - the boy with nose-pickingly disgusting habits - is back for another helping of comic chaos! With ever-increasing madcap schemes and crazy capers, Bertie continues to delight his legions of fans who revel in his revolting ways. Join Bertie in Aliens! his 26th adventure, as he prepares for an alien invasion, has a go at bird watching and tries to improve his school report! Dirty Bertie is a hugely popular series created by award-winning illustrator, David Roberts (Tyrannosaurus Drip, The Wind in the Willows, The Troll, Eddie Dickens Trilogy). With each hilarious story approximately thirty pages long and split into chapters with illustrations on nearly every spread, Dirty Bertie is ideal for confident readers to enjoy by themselves, or for sharing with your child.

The New American Ephemeris for the 21st Century 2000-2100 at Midnight, Michelsen Memorial Edition Compiled and Programmed by Rique Pottenger, based on the earlier work of Neil F Michelsen Memorial text and Introduction compiled and written by Maria Kay Simms In 1976, Neil F Michelsen (1931-1990) compiled, programmed and published the first edition of The American Ephemeris that set new standards of accuracy for contemporary astrology. In 2006, celebrating the 30th anniversary of first publication of the first volume of work that grew to become Michelsen's comprehensive American Ephemeris series, Rique Pottenger continued the work that Neil began. Within The New American Ephemeris for the 21st Century 2000-2100 at Midnight is the familiar data and format long used and trusted by astrologers worldwide, now updated and expanded, with new features. This ephemeris is unique among others in the series for its memorial text section that documents, partially from excerpts from Michelsen's own writing, and partially from testimonials of colleagues, a history of the development of computer technology for astrology. Features of this entire 21st century edition include improvements in the computer generating program that enable finding double ingresses in a single day plus more accurate station times. Ceres, the asteroid that was elevated to planetary status by the IAU (International Astronomical Union) in 2006, has been added to the daily longitude listings in her position between Mars and Jupiter. The new planet Eris, whose discovery precipitated the IAU decisions of 2006, moves, at most, about 3 minutes per month, so her position is listed once per month in the Astro Data box, along with monthly positions for Chiron, Pallas, Juno and Vesta. A new formula increases the accuracy of monthly positions of the Galactic Center. Phenomena listed in the Aliens! download PDF Astro Data column are sorted by time as well as by date. Also, the planetary ingress data includes R if the planet is retrograde when it ingresses.

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Richard A. Silverman: Essential Calculus with Applications

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Calculus is an extremely powerful tool for solving a host of practical problems in fields as diverse as physics, biology, and economics, to mention just a few. In this rigorous but accessible text, a noted mathematician introduces undergraduate-level students to the problem-solving techniques that make a working knowledge of calculus indispensable for any mathematician. The author first applies the necessary mathematical background, including sets, inequalities, absolute value, mathematical induction, and other "precalculus"material. Chapter Two begins the actual study of differential calculus with a discussion of the key concept of function, and a thorough treatment of derivatives and limits. In Chapter Three differentiation is used as a tool; among the topics covered here are velocity, continuous and differentiable functions, the indefinite integral, local extrema, and concrete optimization problems. Chapter Four treats integral calculus, employing the standard definition of the Riemann integral, and deals with the mean value theorem for integrals, the main techniques of integration, and improper integrals. Chapter Five offers a brief introduction to differential equations and their applications, including problems of growth, decay, and motion. The final chapter is devoted to the differential calculus of functions of several variables. Numerous problems and answers, and a newly added section of "Supplementary Hints and Answers," enable the student to test his grasp of the material before going on. Concise and well written, this text is ideal as a primary text or as a refresher for anyone wishing to review the fundamentals of this crucial discipline. "

These are questions we all ask ourselves, but it's hard to get past conjecture or gut feeling to find any definitive answers. Now, in this ground-breaking book, David Hamilton looks at hard scientific evidence to bring us closer to understanding the balance between the forces of destiny and the power of free will. Exploring new, cutting-edge scientific research into the nature of time, and drawing on fields such as quantum physics, epigenetics, solar cycles and even reports of near-death experiences, David explores how, rather than being a question of one versus the other, destiny and free will can in fact work simultaneously in his fascinating new theory, 'The Tree of Probable Life'. He shows how, Essential Calculus with Applications ebook pdf ultimately, we create many of the conditions of our own lives and offers some powerful, practical principles that can bring amazing results.

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